Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.583942 1.810585 2.059431 2.353135 2.690592 3.066522 3.517551
2025-08-17 1.180041 1.457783 1.787934 2.210091 2.736738 3.373633 4.204700
2025-08-24 0.957607 1.262885 1.650916 2.182004 2.892769 3.815088 5.109183
2025-08-31 0.790263 1.102437 1.522820 2.133122 3.001411 4.199770 5.992007
2025-09-07 0.708357 1.039043 1.507975 2.225820 3.305096 4.880250 7.377135
2025-09-14 0.631534 0.968672 1.469296 2.272906 3.542598 5.491440 8.747929
2025-09-21 0.555785 0.887334 1.400467 2.260184 3.680907 5.963670 9.965994
2025-09-28 0.478446 0.791895 1.295451 2.172422 3.681893 6.210330 10.842350
2025-10-05 0.449424 0.770254 1.304633 2.270963 4.001582 7.020815 12.795381
2025-10-12 0.425826 0.754097 1.319768 2.379633 4.350360 7.923714 15.044030
2025-10-19 0.395830 0.722563 1.303611 2.428828 4.595613 8.668784 17.103254
2025-10-26 0.366944 0.689217 1.279601 2.459103 4.806950 9.374182 19.184362
2025-11-02 0.326391 0.630330 1.203492 2.384051 4.811613 9.695490 20.571331
2025-11-09 0.285686 0.566320 1.110149 2.262976 4.707428 9.784520 21.484976
2025-11-16 0.261475 0.532040 1.070852 2.246487 4.817472 10.331643 23.487453
2025-11-23 0.237315 0.494971 1.021515 2.202334 4.861725 10.743047 25.248063
2025-11-30 0.229029 0.490016 1.037784 2.301533 5.235744 11.934674 29.036713
2025-12-07 0.217102 0.475791 1.032578 2.352067 5.505475 12.925846 32.503429
2025-12-14 0.201286 0.451145 1.001740 2.339800 5.625542 13.580535 35.230720
2025-12-21 0.181332 0.414910 0.940921 2.249281 5.543764 13.733143 36.673845
2025-12-28 0.176645 0.413368 0.959202 2.351696 5.955496 15.176171 41.836758
2026-01-04 0.172737 0.413195 0.980600 2.464518 6.409762 16.794980 47.775723
2026-01-11 0.165220 0.403430 0.977851 2.515609 6.709034 18.047559 52.887009